Your bug out plan - From City.

[Marlin]

Don't worry. SHTF will think of one for you!

Just one of those things I can't really find the enthusiasm to get all worked up about.
Looking at the most likely ones.

Blizzard- Haven't seen one yet that within 72 hours everything was back to normal, or, near normal.
And I made it through the blizzard of '82.

Tornado- I'll go down in the crawlspace until it's over and proceed from there.

Flood- I'll put it this way, If I have to start worrying about the rising water, We should have had the Ark already.

Let's see, that leaves us with the "Red dawn scenario", Nuclear attack and Mob rules. The least likely ones.

Red Dawn- Pretty sure I'm going to be out numbered and out gunned on that one anyway, Might as well go down defending the
the house as opposed to some cave somewhere.

Mob rules- A few well placed shots "should" persuade them to look elsewhere. Or at least look for new leaders.

Nuclear attack- I love this one, I'm about 15 miles as the shockwave travels from the Fed center. which I'm guessing would still rate fairly high on the list of local targets.
So, if we are still talking 7 minutes from launch detection to impact, I might have enough time to tell my tushie good bye.

So, to sum up, I really just can't get that excited about it. Sorry..

[thecatsfan]

Just one of those things I can't really find the enthusiasm to get all worked up about.
Looking at the most likely ones.

Blizzard- Haven't seen one yet that within 72 hours everything was back to normal, or, near normal.
And I made it through the blizzard of '82.

Tornado- I'll go down in the crawlspace until it's over and proceed from there.

Flood- I'll put it this way, If I have to start worrying about the rising water, We should have had the Ark already.

Let's see, that leaves us with the "Red dawn scenario", Nuclear attack and Mob rules. The least likely ones.

Red Dawn- Pretty sure I'm going to be out numbered and out gunned on that one anyway, Might as well go down defending the
the house as opposed to some cave somewhere.

Mob rules- A few well placed shots "should" persuade them to look elsewhere. Or at least look for new leaders.

Nuclear attack- I love this one, I'm about 15 miles as the shockwave travels from the Fed center. which I'm guessing would still rate fairly high on the list of local targets.
So, if we are still talking 7 minutes from launch detection to impact, I might have enough time to tell my tushie good bye.

So, to sum up, I really just can't get that excited about it. Sorry..

Not get excited about it? I can see that. You can't wait for the sky to fall. And you should base your plans on your beliefs and your situations.

To me it sounds more like you have thought of scenarios where you should leave, but you are weighing the odds of those scenarios as being the least likely. Fair enough . I don't necessarily agree, but that is purely opinion.

Personally, I can foresee many scenarios where being in any form of an urban environment will become a no-win situation.

Tornado. Well, trust me, after you come out of the crawl space, you will be bugging out. Been there done that. Watched an F4 send the top half of my house into the next zip code. What if that F4 hits your house one month after the dollar collapses? Lieklihood is admittedly low but far from unimaginable.

Mob Rules. If that mob is big enough, you will not stop them. If they want what you have, they will take it or burn you out trying. A few well placed shots may only priovide them with a sense of urgency. Kevin Costner may have talked his way out of it. But a real life mob that has no visible source of food except for you and yours will not be as easily discouraged.

So, it's not so much that I disagree with your point of view as I disagree with your singular statement. "I have yet to come up with a scenario that would force me out of the house." The scenario exists. And I think you have thought of it. And if you have not, I still believe that SHTF can very easily create that scenario whether you have thought of it or not.

Personally, I will not risk the eggs in one basket approach, because if the least likely scenario is the one that occurs and all my preparations can't keep my kids alive if I have to leave my home, why bother preparing?

[Marlin]

The only one I can even think that might be close is IF, Yellowstone blows. But, I'll say, if it goes "worst case". That might even amount to an exercise in futility anyway.

Oh, as far as the mob goes, I don't think I have to worry about them too much. Much better 'hoods with much better loot than this one. Besides, I may be out looting those anyway.

[newracer]

If Yellowstone goes we won't have to worry about anything, we will be gone.

[Irving]

Nuclear attack- I love this one, I'm about 15 miles as the shockwave travels from the Fed center. which I'm guessing would still rate fairly high on the list of local targets.
So, if we are still talking 7 minutes from launch detection to impact, I might have enough time to tell my tushie good bye.

I've tried to ask this before, and was provided a link, but it was too long for me to find what I was looking for. So you're saying that a direct, ground level, nuke strike at the Fed center would without a doubt end us (your place and mine?) About how far is "safe" from the initial shock wave of a nuke? How far from the fall out?

[gnihcraes]

Don't forget massive earthquake, we do live along a huge fault line. I believe in this more than some of the others possibilities.

[ChunkyMonkey]

Don't forget massive earthquake, we do live along a huge fault line. I believe in this more than some of the others possibilities.

+1
http://dola.colorado.gov/dem/public_...earthquake.htm

[Irving]

I'd love to own land that had either a cave or a hot spring. Think Cave of the Winds would be easily defend able?

[Beprepared]

I've tried to ask this before, and was provided a link, but it was too long for me to find what I was looking for. So you're saying that a direct, ground level, nuke strike at the Fed center would without a doubt end us (your place and mine?) About how far is "safe" from the initial shock wave of a nuke? How far from the fall out?

The condensed version. 30-50 mi.
http://www.ki4u.com/guide.htm

http://www.ki4u.com/free_book/s73p912.htm

[nontactical]

My plan is elegant in its simplicity; I am surrounded by Mormons. While I may not have a years worth of food like my Morman compadres, almost no one has the stockpile of ammo and weapons that I do ... soooo, I start picking off my neighbors, eating them, and feeding their stockpiles to my family. Hey, you do what you have to do in the post-asteroid world.

This is only partially in gest. Me and mine come before anyone else.